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The Contrarian Capitalist's avatar

Jan beat me to what I was also going to say. That correlation is indeed interesting. A lot going on at the moment so thank you for being precise with your words and analysis (as per usual).

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Jesse Colombo's avatar

Thank you :)

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Jan Nieuwenhuijs's avatar

Interesting that the correlation between the dollar and commodities have changed…

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Jesse Colombo's avatar

Yes—my theory is that the 2020 COVID stimulus mania played a major role. The Fed’s massive money printing fueled a historic bubble in stocks and sparked a rally in commodities. That stock market boom attracted a surge of foreign capital, which in turn drove the dollar higher. Interestingly, the dollar has fallen sharply alongside stocks since the start of this year.

I don’t expect this unusual situation to last much longer, as I believe the historic inverse relationship will reassert itself.

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Stephen's avatar

If we accept the thesis of gold price suppression to hide fiat dollar inflation, can we not also accept a thesis of US dollar index manipulation to make the dollar appear strong?

I get the sense that gold’s rise is somewhat constrained/managed (damage control?), so am wondering if USD index manipulation isn’t required as part of this broader mechanism.

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Charlie Amos's avatar

Excellent as usual.

Our H1/2025 target 94 for DXY.

Chart on X (@Lowercosta).

Charlie.

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roger mason's avatar

the u.s. dollar has been a hoax since the "Fed" was created well over 100 years ago. this is a private bank with no reserves who charges us interest on creating "money" out of thin air. the biggest financial hoax in history. they are, in fact, owned by 12 israeli banks. our gold was stolen almost

80 years ago and the dollar is backed by NOTHING. that's right, ft. knox and west point are empty. no required formal audits in decades. i don't care if the dollar index goes to two dollars- gold and silver are going to the moon- then then to pluto. they have been the only real money for, what?, 5,000 years now.

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